Posts Tagged ‘Satellite Radio Playground’

Playground Radio To Discuss Sirius XM (SIRI) — Live Tonight At 8:00PM ET

Posted 15 Sep 2010 — by Demian Russian
Category Sirius XM (SIRI) News

by Demian Russian

Playground RadioJoin Demian Russian, Dennis “Cos” Costa, and Brian “Newman” Rayl as they discuss the world of Sirius XM Satellite Radio (NASDAQ: SIRI) on Playground Radio — live tonight (September 15th) at 8:00PM Eastern. There is much to talk about with Sirius XM CEO Mel Karmazin presenting earlier today at the Bank of America/Merrill Lynch (NYSE: BAC) Media, Communications, and Entertainment Conference, and the company’s stock responding, making a run today to close at $1.11 after touching an intraday high of $1.13.

Listeners are welcome to call in and join the live discussion at (347) 934-0239. Playground Radio can be heard live Wednesdays at 8:00PM Eastern. Previous episodes of Playground Radio are available for streaming or download, as an Mp3 file or via iTunes. Further information about Playground Radio can be found at the Playground Radio Home Page. Tonight’s episode of Playground Radio can be heard live via the following link:

Position: Long SIRI

Contact the Author: demianrussian@satelliteradioplayground.com

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Are You Ready For Some Football Sirius XM (SIRI) Style?

Posted 26 Aug 2010 — by Brian Newman Rayl
Category Sirius XM (SIRI) News

By Brian “Newman” Rayl

Satellite Radio Playground - Sirius XM Satellite Radio (SIRI) Hosts channels dedicated to everything related to the National Football League (NFL) as well as to Fantasy Football and other Fantasy Sports.The National Football League (NFL) regular season kicks off on Thursday, September 9th in a rematch of the 2009 NFC Championship game between the New Orleans Saints and the Minnesota Vikings (a game which has changed the overtime rules of the NFL after a field goal won the game in overtime for the New Orleans Saints, who would go on to win the Superbowl). Sirius XM (NASDAQ:SIRI) is of course covering this game — and every other game of the season — live on satellite radio. To view the Sirius NFL Schedule click HERE and for the XM NFL schedules, click HERE. For XM Subscribers, you must have the “Best of Sirius” package in order to listen to the NFL.

The NFL Channel is on channel 124 for both Sirius and XM subscribers and hosts an amazing lineup of show hosts. Catch The Sirius Blitz weekdays from 11am-3pm with John Madden, Adam Schein, and Rich Gannon. Movin’ The Chains airs every weekday from 3:00PM to 7:00PM ET with hosts Pat Kirwan and Tim Ryan, who check in with players and coaches from around the league. Before the games, catch Howard David and Ross Tucker on Press Pass Sunday mornings from 8:00AM t0 12:00PM ET, as they bring you the last minute news from around the league before kickoff. Can’t catch all of the games? Listen to NFL Rewind on Sunday night from 8:00PM to 12:00AM ET with Jack Arute and Jim Miller for an in-depth look at the biggest stories around the NFL.

Fantasy sports have become a huge tradition for millions upon millions of armchair quarterbacks, and none more so than fantasy football. With regular season less than 2 weeks away, most fantasy football leagues are in the midst of their own drafts. Because of its popularity, Sirius XM has even devoted a channel for the fantasy lover called Fantasy Sports Radio airing on Sirius channel 211 and XM channel 147. This time it is Sirius subscribers who will need a “Best of XM” package in order receive this unique content. Read More

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Sirius XM (SIRI): Satellite Radio Round Table #3 — Tonight @ 8:00PM ET

Posted 24 Aug 2010 — by Demian Russian
Category Sirius XM (SIRI) News

by Demian Russian

Playground RadioThe August 2010 edition of Satellite Radio Round Table airs live tonight (August 24th) at 8:00PM ET. The Satellite Radio Round Table is a collaborative effort of Satellite Radio Playground, SiriusBuzz, and Orbitcast to bring Sirius XM Radio (NASDAQ:SIRI) fans and investors a unique and varied perspective of the Satellite Radio landscape. Last month’s Satellite Radio Roundtable was hosted by Satellite Radio Playground on Playground Radio. SiriusBuzz will be hosting this month’s Satellite Radio Round Table on their Satellite Radio News radio program.

This month’s Satellite Radio Round Table topics will include: Satellite Radio 2.0, Howard Stern, Slacker/Pandora, the FCC station lease-back issue, John Tinker’s recent initiation of Sirius XM coverage for Maxim Group, the NAB/RIAA FM radio mandate proposal, and more.

Spencer Osborne from SiriusBuzz will be moderating this month’s round table discussion. Tonight’s Satellite Radio Round Table will air live on Satellite Radio News at 8:00PM ET. Following the live broadcast, the show will be available for streaming or download as an Mp3 file or via iTunes. Listeners who would like to participate in the live discussion can do so by dialing (347) 945-7995. Read More

To discuss this article or any stock, please visit The Playground Discussion Forum!

Wunderlich Securities’ Matthew Harrigan To Weigh In On Sirius XM (SIRI) Tonight @ 8:00PM ET

Posted 11 Aug 2010 — by Demian Russian
Category Sirius XM (SIRI) News

by Demian Russian

Wunderlich SecuritiesWunderlich Securities Media Analyst, Matthew Harrigan, will be discussing his thoughts on Sirius XM Radio (NASDAQ:SIRI) and the company’s Q2 results in an exclusive, live interview on Playground Radio — tonight (Wednesday, August 11th, 2010) @ 8:00PM Eastern. Mr. Harrigan currently has a BUY rating and a $1.50 price target on SIRI.

Matthew HarriganMatthew Harrigan has fourteen years experience as an equity and high yield media analyst, focusing on both U.S. and international companies. He has been recognized multiple times on the Wall Street Journal Best on the Street compilation and was also an Institutional Investor ranked analyst for both Latin American media and for boutique coverage. Prior to joining Wunderlich Securities, Inc., Harrigan was a Senior Vice President at Ferris, Baker Watts and a Managing Director at Janco Partners. He was previously a Vice President at JP Morgan Securities and at Bear Stearns. Harrigan graduated with Distinction from The Wharton School with a concentration in International Finance and magna cum laude from Brown University where he was a Rhodes Scholarship Candidate. He worked in the International Capital Markets and Swap Derivatives areas at Salomon Brothers prior to attending graduate School at Wharton and at Stanford Law School.

Matthew Harrigan originally initiated coverage of Sirius XM Radio for Wunderlich Securities last January, with a BUY rating and a $1.00 price target. He then downgraded that to a HOLD in March, while still maintaining his $1.00 price target, over concerns with the OEM sector and the economy as a whole. Harrigan then raised his price target to $1.25 in May, the day before Sirius XM reported their Q1 results, while still maintaining his HOLD rating. Following Sirius XM’s second quarter results, Mr. Harrigan upgraded his rating on SIRI from HOLD to BUY and raised his price target from $1.25 to $1.50.

“After Q2 results it is more evident that SIRI can execute even in an ‘L’ shaped ‘recovery’ even if it cannot top out growth potential off a normal automotive SAAR rate.”

– Matthew Harrigan, Wunderlich Securities Media Analyst

In Harrigan’s upgrade report, he called Sirius XM’s Q2 growth and expense control “best-in class” and noted that “SIRI’s product continues to resonate with healthier higher-end consumers.” While modeling full-year 2010 vehicle sales to come in at 11.25 million, he noted that a 13 million run rate would raise his $1.50 2011-based price target to $2.00, and a 15 million run rate would raise his 2011-based price target to $2.65, assuming his “forecast for erosion to Pandora and other alternatives is in line.” Harrigan also noted in his report that CEO Mel Karmazin sounded “upbeat” when he volunteered during the Q2 conference call that a resolution regarding Howard Stern was expected before the company’s Q3 conference call. Read More

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Sirius XM Celebrates Elvis Week

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Posted 10 Aug 2010 — by Demian Russian
Category Sirius XM (SIRI) News

by Demian Russian

Elvis PresleyElvis Week 2010 kicks off today at Graceland in Memphis, Tennessee. This year’s annual, week-long event celebrating the life and music of Elvis Presley runs from August 10th -16th. Sirius XM’s (NASDAQ: SIRI) Elvis Radio (Sirius channel 13 and XM channel 18) will be celebrating Elvis Week 2010 all week with special programming and updates. Elvis Radio broadcasts live 24/7 from Graceland.

“Sirius XM Elvis Radio welcomes fans from around the world as we celebrate the life of the greatest singer and entertainer the world has ever known! Can’t make it to Memphis for Elvis Week 2010? Join Elvis Radio as we bring Elvis Week 2010 home to you! Tune in for the latest of what’s happening here at Graceland and around Memphis during Elvis Week!”

– Elvis Radio

The annual Elvis Week gathering draws close to 40,000 people from around the world to Memphis, Tennessee to celebrate Elvis Presley’s life and legacy. This year’s gathering will celebrate Elvis Presley’s 75th birthday year with some special events and concerts.

There will be a special screening of a newly-restored and remastered version of “Elvis on Tour” from Warner Bros. on August 14th at The Orpheum Theater in Memphis. A new specially-produced retrospective from Priscilla Presley, as well as never-before-seen Elvis tour footage from the Warner Bros. vault and montage sequences produced by Academy Award-winner Martin Scorsese, will also be included. Celebrity guests and a concert by members of the original J.D. Sumner and The Stamps Quartet who performed in “Elvis on Tour” will also commemorate the event. Read More

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Sirius XM (SIRI): Morgan Stanley Reiterates No Rating, No Price Target

Posted 06 Aug 2010 — by Demian Russian
Category Sirius XM (SIRI) News

by Demian Russian

Morgan StanleyIn a research note issued after Sirius XM Radio’s (NASDAQ: SIRI) Q2 reported results and conference call, Morgan Stanley media analyst David Gober reiterated his Not-Rated rating and issued no price target on the equity. Mr. Gober believes that Sirius XM’s stock value will continue to be “highly volatile” as a result of the company’s “relatively high leverage and still relatively small free cash flow.” According to Gober, this volatility will continue until “its ultimate free cash flow outlook becomes clearer,” but no time frame was given for how long that mat be.

“After completing the Sirius/XM merger, a refinancing of its balance sheet, and weathering the recent recession, Sirius XM has emerged as a more stable company with several key opportunities.”

– David Gober, Morgan Stanley Media Analyst

Sirius XM’s pre-announced subscriber additions blew away Morgan Stanley’s previous estimates. Sirius XM reported 583,249 net subscriber additions for the second quarter, while Morgan Stanley was only forecasting for 190,000. Gober attributed higher auto sales and an increase in installed penetration at Toyota (NYSE: TM) as drivers of this better than expected growth. He noted that there was subscriber addition improvement in not only the new OEM market, but in the after-market as well, along with an improvement in churn. Sirius XM reported second quarter churn of 1.8%, down year-over-year from 2.0% in the second quarter of 2009. Read More

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Sirius XM (SIRI): RBC Capital’s David Bank Reiterates $1.00 Price Target

Posted 06 Aug 2010 — by Demian Russian
Category Sirius XM (SIRI) News

by Demian Russian

RBC Capital MarketsOn the heels of Sirius XM Radio’s (NASDAQ: SIRI) Q2 results, RBC Capital Markets Global Media Analyst David Bank reiterated his Sector Perform/Speculative Risk rating and $1.00 price target on shares of the Satellite Radio provider. While Mr. Bank saw Sirius XM’s second quarter performance as “slightly ahead” and noted the company’s raised guidance, he says that it was “basically in-line with our prior estimates.” While noting Sirius XM’s “continued solid execution,” Bank sees valuation concerns keeping him on the sidelines.

“At the end of the day, a 15x+ 2010E EV/EBITDA multiple leaves limited room for upside relative to media peer universe.”

– David Bank, RBC Capital Markets Global Media Analyst

Commenting on the OEM channel, Bank sees an improving environment fueling top-line performance. “Core OEM growth is picking up and that leads to accelerating momentum already reflected in SIRI’s pre-release of July 7th,” says Bank. Along with an improving auto market, Bank notes that Sirius XM’s “churn and conversion rates are holding steady despite higher gross additions.” Bank found this a bit surprising, as this was reflecting cash-for-clunkers buyers. While pointing out this improvement in the auto market, Bank does note in his report that about 50% of the improvement in the auto industry was being fueled by fleet sales, which are not as impactful to Sirius XM as retail sales. In his report, Bank also points to near-term profitability concerns due to ramping subscribers. “Near-term, profitability should lag due to SAC ramp ahead of gross additions, but that will likely ‘even out’ over time,” Bank explained. Read More

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Sirius XM (SIRI): Janco Partners’ Martin Pyykkonen Reiterates BUY Rating, $1.40 PT

Posted 05 Aug 2010 — by Demian Russian
Category Sirius XM (SIRI) News

by Demian Russian

Janco PartnersJanco Partners senior media and entertainment analyst Martin Pyykkonen reiterated his BUY rating and $1.40 price target on Sirius XM Radio (NASDAQ: SIRI) today, on the company’s strong second quarter execution. Mr. Pyykkonen sees this execution pointing towards sustainable FCF (Free Cash Flow) and EBITDA growth. He saw the company’s Q2 performance highlights being $108 million in FCF , EBITDA of $154 million (representing a 21.9% margin), net subscriber additions of 583 million, a 46.7% conversion rate, and efficient programming and content expense management, which came in at only 11.9% of revenue and was down 160 basis points quarter-over-quarter. Pyykkonen’s $1.40 price target is based on 14x his full-year 2011 $646 million EBITDA estimate and reflects Liberty Media’s 40% stake in Sirius XM, resulting in a 6.4 billion diluted share count.

“SIRI’s 2Q10 results were largely driven by the company’s fundamental execution in generating subscriber growth, tightly managing operating expenses and further delivering on merger benefits…all against the backdrop of a tepid economic recovery at best.”

– Martin Pyykkonen, Janco Partners Media and Entertainment Analyst

Pyykkonen is targeting Sirius XM’s full-year 2010 EBITDA to come in at $585 million, but looking out to 2011 he sees EBITDA growth in the 10% range for the full-year to $646 million. He views his full-year 2010 FCF estimate for ~$166.65 million as having some upside potential, due to Sirius XM’s “working capital efficiency.” Looking out to 2012, Pyykkonen views Sirius XM’s capex needs falling substantially. He sees capex coming in just over $200 million in 2010 and continuing to decline in 2011 to just over $100 million. While not yet factoring it into his model, Pyykkonen does see potential upside if Sirius XM increases the prices of its subscription plans beginning in the back half of 2011. Read More

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Sirius XM Radio (SIRI) Compliments 583K New Subscribers With Over $108M In Free Cash Flow

Posted 04 Aug 2010 — by Dennis "Cos" Costa
Category Sirius XM (SIRI) News

by Dennis “Cos” Costa

Mel Karmazin

Mel Karmazin

Sirius XM Radio (NASDAQ:SIRI) announced its second quarter financial and operating results in a press release today, August 4th, 2010. The company announced strong double digit growth in revenue on a year-over-year basis, up 16% to $705.6M for the quarter. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $154M, up 17% on a year-over-year basis, and net income on a GAAP basis for the quarter, was a positive $15.3M or $.00 per share, an increase from the same period of 2009 from ($159.6M) or ($.04) per share.

“The sharp subscriber growth and double-digit increase in adjusted revenue and adjusted EBITDA show that we continued to execute on our business plan during the second quarter. Compared to the year ago quarter, gross additions increased by 46%, deactivations declined by 8%, and customers paid us on average 11% more each month – clearly showing just how much subscribers love our service.”

– Mel Karmazin, Chief Executive Officer, SIRIUS XM

In the company’s conference call it was also anounced that free cash flow had turned positive for the second quarter, reporting $108.3M compared to a negative ($127M) in the first quarter, and $12.7M in the same period a year ago. With this strong financial performance in the second quarter, the company also increased guidance for the full year 2010, projecting adjusted revenue to approach $2.8B and free cash flow to approach $150M. The company left its target of $575M in adjusted EBITDA unchanged at this time. Sirus XM also maintained its projected guidance for net subscriber additions of 1.1M for the full year.

Giving more depth to the company’s net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders, the positive $15.3M in net income reported  included losses on the extinguishment of debt in the second quarter 2010 of $31.9M, compared to $107.8M in the same period of 2009. These losses were atrributable to the restructuring of $500M in 9.65% notes paid in April 2010, and for the early redemption of all of the $114M, 10% PIK XM notes paid with cash on hand on June 1st. Read More

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Live Coverage of Sirius XM’s (SIRI) Second Quarter Conference Call

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Posted 04 Aug 2010 — by Brian Newman Rayl
Category Sirius XM (SIRI) News

Welcome to live coverage of  Sirius XM’s (NASDAQ:SIRI) 2010 second quarter conference call. This coverage is being brought to you by a joint effort between Satellite Radio Playground and SiriusBuzz utilizing CoverItLive. There is no need to refresh your screen — it will automatically post updates to your screen live as it happens. Coverage will begin at 7:00AM ET (one hour before the call actually starts) to bring you up to the second news and analysis as the public releases come out. We will continue throughout the conference call and shortly after to give our panelists an opportunity to give their opinions of the reported results.

Tonight, Satellite Radio Playground will have its regularly scheduled Playground Radio show at 8:00pm ET. We will discuss the Q2 earnings results and listeners will be welcomed to call in and join the discussion. More information can be found on the Playground Radio home page.

Enjoy the live coverage! (Just click the play button!)

Disclosure: All panelists are long SIRI

To discuss this article or any stock, please visit The Playground Discussion Forum!

Live Coverage Of Sirius XM’s (SIRI) Q2 Conference Call

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Posted 03 Aug 2010 — by Demian Russian
Category Sirius XM (SIRI) News

by Demian Russian

Sirius XM Conference CallSirius XM Radio (NASDAQ:SIRI) will be releasing its Q2 2010 financial and operating results on Wednesday, August 4th, and the conference call to discuss those results and field analyst’s questions is scheduled for 8:00AM ET. Satellite Radio Playground and SiriusBuzz are pleased to announce that they are joining forces again to deliver live coverage of Sirius XM’s Q2 2010 conference call. The team will be utilizing CoveritLive to deliver streaming news from the call — as it happens.

Whether you chose to view the live, streaming coverage at SatelliteRadioPlayground.com or SiriusBuzz.com, you will be treated to the exact same content. This collaborative effort gives Satellite Radio investors and enthusiasts an important aspect that had been missing in the sector — varied perspective in one place. This special event allows you to garner instant reactions while listening to the call. Get news, opinions and insights from Satellite Radio Playground’s Demian Russian, Brian “Newman” Rayl and Dennis “Cos” Costa, with Spencer Osborne and Charles LaRocca from SiriusBuzz. Read More

Edmunds Forecasts July Auto Sales: Good News For Sirius XM (SIRI)

Posted 30 Jul 2010 — by Dennis "Cos" Costa
Category Sirius XM (SIRI) News

edmundsBy Dennis “Cos” Costa

On July 29th Edmunds.com released its forecast for July auto sales and the news was encouraging. Edmunds is expecting the strongest sales month since Cash-for-Clunkers just a year ago. For Sirius XM Radio (NASDAQ:SIRI) this can only be good news. With Sirius XM being so closely tied to the automotive industry’s recovery and their continued growth, due to their contracts with automakers to factory install their radios, continued stability in vehicle sales is welcomed by Sirius XM shareholders.

Edmunds sees July vehicle sales, including fleet, coming in at 1,064,00 units, an increase of 8.4% from July 2009, and an 8.9% increase from June of 2010. These numbers represent to Edmunds.com analysts that July’s Seasonally Adjusted Annualized Rate (SAAR) will be 11.8M, up from 11.1M in June 2010.

“July sales numbers should be the highest we’ve seen since last August’s Cash-for-Clunkers frenzy. Retail demand for new cars this month has been the strongest of the year, even more than in March when Toyota launched an aggressive incentive campaign and other automakers followed suit”

Ray Zhou, PHD, Senior Analyst for Edmunds.com

U.S. automakers’ market share for July is estimated to be 44.9%, down sequentially from 46.8% in June 2010 and up year-over-year from 44.3% in July 2009. July 2010 had 27 selling days, one more than July 2009. When adjusted for this difference, sales increased 4.4% overall from July 2009.

“Consumers have been conditioned to think that the summer is a great time to pick up a deal on a new car. The bargain-hunting mentality that reigns in the marketplace today, and automakers’ ads promoting the clearance of old inventory, are driving people to dealerships in search of deals which, frankly aren’t all that generous this year.”

Jessica Caldwell, Senior Analyst at Edmunds.com

Despite there being an actual lack of incentives available and deals being offered by automakers, the perception is still out there for consumers that these sales numbers are representing a demand for what the automakers are presenting at each given price point. Read More